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托比阁下:保持低利率以促投资 / Keep Prime Rate Low to Spur Investments
来源: | 作者:迦纳术略 | 发布时间 :2024-12-08 | 539 次浏览: | 分享到:
阁下还质疑加纳银行为何基于预期通胀而非历史通胀来设定基准利率,指出这导致加纳成为一个与其他国家如赞比亚、肯尼亚和坦桑尼亚相比的高利率环境。



经验丰富的加纳投资银行家十四世·托比·阿菲德阁下(Togbe Afede XIV)呼吁加纳银行和财政部共同努力,以降低基准利率和通胀率。


托比阁下指出,当前 27% 的基准利率过高,这意味着个人和企业的平均借款成本将达到 33%,这对企业构成了巨大挑战。高基准利率导致国内资本成本大幅上升,这给鼓励本地企业所有权带来了困难。

阁下在接受本刊采访时表示:“在当前的经济环境下,以 33% 的利率借款,企业能赚取多少利润?更别提偿还债务了。这是一个巨大的挑战。基准利率过高。基准利率是加纳银行向商业银行放贷的利率。如果银行从加纳银行以 27% 的利率借款,那么它们只能以更高的利率向企业和个人放贷。如果政府作为最大的借款者,其平均借款利率在 27% 到 29% 之间,那么企业和个人能得到的贷款利率只会更高。”

作为包括迦纳术略(SIL)旗下的 SAS 金融集团在内多家企业的主席和所有者,在接受采访时提出了这些担忧。加纳正经历一系列经济挑战,包括高通胀率、塞地对美元的持续贬值以及商品价格的急剧上升。

托比阁下同时也是阿索格利王国的国王大酋长,他对这些导致国家经济困境的问题,以及可能的解决方案作出了回应。

借贷成本

阁下指出,由于借贷成本过高,加纳本地企业发现在国内借款变得困难,因为其他国家的借贷条件更为有利。
因此,他们选择在这些国家借款,然后返回加纳投资于本地业务。这种情况导致外资企业在加纳本地经济中占据了主导地位,而不是本地加纳人。

“政策制定者似乎没有意识到他们的政策对本地企业构成了挑战。因此,他们需要降低基准利率,使贷款对本地居民来说更加可行。” 托比阁下如此建议并强调,由于财政部负责财政政策,加纳银行负责货币政策,两者应该合作降低基准利率和通胀率。

阁下还质疑加纳银行为何基于预期通胀而非历史通胀来设定基准利率,指出这导致加纳成为一个与其他国家如赞比亚、肯尼亚和坦桑尼亚相比的高利率环境。

此外,作为阿索格利王国国王大酋长,对加纳国内美元化的趋势表示担忧,并强调需要保护加纳塞地唯一法定货币的地位。

加纳塞地贬值问题

在讨论加纳塞地频繁贬值的现象时,阁下提出了一系列解决方案:减少预算赤字,提升生产能力,通过激励措施和明确的规则支持私营部门,帮助他们扩大生产规模,以及增加出口并提升出口产品的附加值,同时减少进口,强调经济过于依赖外国。

“所有这些因素都会影响对美元的需求。我们出口过多,这意味着我们需要更多的美元。当外国人在我们的银行领域占据主导时,这意味着他们赚取的利润最终会以股息的形式汇出国外。这对我们的经济有深远的影响。加纳银行也经常指出,我们的经济结构存在问题,这是高通胀和资产贬值的主要原因。”

Keep Prime Rate Low to Spur Investments - Togbe Afede


AN astute investment banker, Togbe Afede XIV, has called for collaboration between the Bank of Ghana and the Ministry of Finance to keep the prime rate and inflation down.


Describing the current prime rate of 27 percent as too high, he said it meant the average borrowing rate for individuals and businesses would be 33 per cent, something he pointed out posed a very big challenge to businesses.


He said the high prime rate had made the cost of capital very expensive in the country which had led to difficulty in encouraging local ownership of business.


"In today's world, you are borrowing at 33 per cent to make how much profit and let alone be able to service your debt? It's a big, big challenge. The prime rate is too high. The prime rate is the rate at which the Bank of Ghana lends to the banks. So if banks are borrowing from the Bank of Ghana at 27 per cent, what do you expect? They can only lend you at a higher rate. And if government itself, the biggest borrower, is borrowing on average between 27 to 29 per cent, what can you get? You can only get something higher," he said.


Togbe Afede XIV, who chairs and owns a number of businesses in the country, including SAS Finance Group, expressed the concerns in an interview with the Daily Graphic.


Ghana has been hit by economic challenges which have seen inflation at a high rate,continuous depreciation of the cedi to the dollar and prices of goods skyrocketing.


Togbe Afede, who is also the Agbogbomefia of the Asogli State, was reacting to some of the problems he believed were responsible for the country's economic woes and how they could be addressed.


Borrowing rates


He said due to these high borrowing rates, Ghanaian businesses find it difficult to borrow because of the favourable borrowing rates in their home countries.


Due to this, they go there to borrow and come back to invest in their businesses here in Ghana, a situation which had made them dominate the local economy of Ghana instead of Ghanaians.


"They don't seem to realise that their policy is making it difficult for locals. So they need to lower our prime rates for interest rates for loans to be affordable to the domestic people," he advised.


He said since the Ministry of Finance handled the fiscal while the Bank of Ghana handled the monetary, they should be able to collaborate to bring down prime rate and inflation.


He asked why the BOG based the prime rate on expected inflation instead of past inflation explaining that that had made Ghana a high-interest environment compared to its counterparts such as Zambia, Kenya and Tanzania.


Expressing concern about the dollarisation in the country, Togbe Afede XIV, who is the Agbogbomefia of the Asogli State, said Ghana was the only country where people could quote prices freely in dollars and, therefore, called for the need to protect the cedi as the only legal tender of the country.


Cedi depreciation


Touching on the frequent depreciation of the cedi, he mentioned the solutions' to be minimising the budget deficit, expanding production capacity, supporting the private sector with incentives and clear rules so they could expand production and the need to export more but add value to the exports and import less, adding that the economy was too foreign-dominated.


"All of these things have implications for demand for dollars. We export too much, which means we need dollars. When foreigners don't dominate our banking sector, what does that mean, they make their profits, they have to remit the profits abroad in dividends. It has implications for our city. So the Bank of Ghana itself cites a lot the fact that our economic structure is not good; the reason for high inflation, asset depreciation."


文:By Augustina Tawiah

翻译:无尽夏


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